Great post. Although my glass is always half empty on a referral, for reasons previously stated. I'm a pessimist when it comes to this case. Still, I hope I'm wrong.
I'm an optimist, Rochford, perhaps the truth lies somewhere between your pessimism and my optimism?
Who was it who said 7 days is a long time in politics, or something like that? Former PM Wilson, I believe. That's very true of most campaigns too.
In so many political and protest campaigns, my lot seemed set to win or lose. Then, in the twinkling of an eye, everything changes. The recent local elections were a prime example of this. One day, one party was getting excellent canvassing returns and seemed set to to win the most wards. Then the next day, their vote began to collapse.
I've been involved with campaigns - little Davids(!) against rich and powerful Goliath affairs - which seemed unwinnable and utterly hopeless. Yet everything turned around and little David won. So I never take anything as given or set in concrete these days.