What is the Ukrainian/NATO path to victory, David? And how are they doing?
The answer of course is that Ukraine and their NATO sponsors are faring very badly. Russia, despite western reporting to the contrary, are achieving their strategic objectives.
In simple terms the Ukrainian/NATO strategic objectives are the conquering of Crimea and the four, now Russian, oblasts. After just over a year of hostilities, that they had long prepared for with the assistance of their NATO sponsors(openly admitted), how are they doing?
Well they lost their entire Navy and air force within days of hostilities beginning. They have also burnt through all the old Soviet planes, tanks, armoured vehicles of the former Soviet but now NATO countries. Hundreds of billions of assistance from NATO countries have also been destroyed by the Russians, who seemingly have an endless supply of everything. They have lost further territory-four oblasts have voted to leave and will not be returning, are almost encircled in both Adviivka and Bakhmut, are losing the war of attrition by 8/10-1, have run out of weapons and ammo and are now running NATO stocks dry. They have also lost hundreds of thousands of men, there are countless videos of forced conscription of teenagers and old men on social media channels and they have no realistic prospect of achieving any of their aims. The most economically productive part of the country is gone. They should have accepted and attempted to implement Minsk 2 agreements.
Russia's objectives have been stated clearly and are easily inferred anyway. The December 2021 proposal/ultimatum put forward by Russia to NATO is the ultimate aim.
https://www.dw.com/en/russia-demands-nato-leave-eastern-europe-limit-missile-deployment/a-60173879 Either through good faith talks or through force of arms. Those NATO countries currently on the Russian border will be facing a whole new dilemma when Ukraine is demilitarised, neutralised and no threat to Russia. Their publics facing rising inflation and reduced living standards will lose their appetite for confronting and threatening Russia. There will be no missiles in those countries that joined NATO after 1991. Ukraine's defeat will be a salutary lesson to any country. After Ukraine none will be willing to be the next to be used by NATO to poke the nuclear armed bear next door.
Russia, despite idiotic western reporting, are not attempting to conquer land. They are attempting to remove the military threat. There is no doubt that this is being achieved.
Ukraine are attempting to take land. There is no doubt that this is going very badly and has no prospect of success. They are going through men, arms and ammo at a rate that is now reaching it's limits. Anyone can see this if they remove the blinders.
NATO/US/UK/EU are criminal in pursuing their territorial ambitions at such human cost and doing all they can to prevent peace agreements. No matter how many lives are wasted, the outcome will not be affected. Those governments in the west pushing this war understand this. When it is over they will likely face their own reckoning, hence their constant doubling down in desperation to avoid the inevitable. European populations are restless and protesting. Mussolini's fate beckons.